|
|
第78行: |
第78行: |
| |- | | |- |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(a) Using the data in Table 1.1, compare Vietnam’s balance of trade in goods and services between 2009 and 2011 with that from 2015 to 2017. [2]</small> | | | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(a) Using the data in Table 1.1, compare Vietnam’s balance of trade in goods and services between 2009 and 2011 with that from 2015 to 2017. [2]</small> |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目1bi'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1bi.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''文字分析'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|#FFC20E|''' 中等 '''}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || trade与GDP的关系
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● trade对应GDP中net exports的情况。当trade存在deficit时,NX小于0,real GDP下降;存在surplus时,NX大于0,real GDP上升。二者可能是正相关关系。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1bi-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(b) (i) Explain the relationship you would expect between the annual change in the balance of trade in goods and services and the annual change in real GDP growth. [2]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目1bii'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1bii.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''图表分析'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|#00FF00|''' 容易 '''}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 对表格信息的获取与描述
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 去表格中寻找并描述在发生deficit和surplus时,GDP的变化情况。发现某些时期确实符合上述正相关关系,但也有时不符合。<br/>● 分别将符合时段和不符合时段进行列举,说明关系并非完全吻合。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1bii-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(ii) Consider the extent to which this relationship is evident in the data in Table 1.1. [2]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目1c'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1c.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''文字分析'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|#FFC20E|''' 中等 '''}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 经济增长的原因
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 注意选取一个aggregate supply方面的影响因素,比如基础设施的建设(学校、公路等)。<br/>● 说明该政策与经济增长之间的联系逻辑链。比如建设学校可以提供更好的教育,人们的技能提升,生产效率提升,output增加,经济增长。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1c-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(c) Using the information provided, explain one supply-side reason why Vietnam has experienced ‘spectacular economic growth’. [2]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目1d'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1d.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''观点讨论'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|red|{{color|white|''' 困难 '''}}}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 货币升值的原因与影响
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 首先解释题干中提到的各类概念。<br/>● 然后讨论出口增加为什么会导致汇率升值,说明二者之间的逻辑链。<br/>● 接着讨论货币升值带来的好处,点明影响,说明汇率与影响之间的逻辑链,比如进口原材料便宜,cost-push inflation下降等。<br/>● 之后讨论货币升值带来的坏处,点明影响,说明汇率与影响之间的逻辑链,比如增加trade deficit。<br/>● 最后做出总结。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1d-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(d) Assess the likely macroeconomic effects of pressure on the exchange rate of the Vietnamese dong arising from Vietnam’s increased exports. [6]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目1e'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1e.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''观点讨论'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|red|{{color|white|''' 困难 '''}}}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 经济增长的可持续性
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 先讨论越南经济可持续的原因,点明原因并说明该原因和经济持续增长的关系。比如基础设施的完善、经济提升并进行capital投资、中美贸易摩擦等。<br/>● 再讨论越南经济可能难以持续的原因,比如美国要收关税、全球经济下滑等。<br/>● 最后给出个人的主观判断,并陈述下判断的理由或讨论上述情况是否发生取决于什么。比如越南过于依赖出口这点很危险、越南公司是否会转移、越南政府的政策等。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_1e-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(e) Assess whether Vietnam’s ‘economic miracle’ is likely to persist over the next few years. [6]</small>
| |
| |} | | |} |
| <br/> | | <br/> |
| | |
|
| |
|
| ==Essay - Micro微观== | | ==Essay - Micro微观== |
| {|
| | |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目2a'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_2a.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''文字分析(含画图)'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|#FFC20E|''' 中等 '''}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || PPC的概念和形状;机会成本
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 先解释题干中的各类概念。<br/>● 然后画出PPC的图像,并标注好机会成本的位置。<br/>● 解释农业替换为工业的机会成本变化情况及原因。由于适合农业的生产要素逐渐替换给了工业,机会成本应该是逐渐上升的。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_2a-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>2 (a) An economy contains just two sectors, an agricultural sector and an industrial sector. With the help of a diagram, explain how a production possibility curve (PPC) can be used to show the concept of opportunity cost and consider whether opportunity cost is likely to remain constant if resources are reallocated from the agricultural sector to the industrial sector. [8]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目2b'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_2b.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''观点讨论'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|red|{{color|white|''' 困难 '''}}}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 各类产品的概念;市场失灵
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 先讨论能够由自由市场提供的商品,即private goods,分析商品的特征,市场提供的方式和好处(价格机制、供求线等)。<br/>● 再讨论不能够完全交给自由市场的商品,比如merit goods和demerit goods,分析商品的特征,市场提供的问题(under-和over-production),及解决手段(由政府补充提供)。<br/>● 再讨论不能交给自由市场的商品,比如public goods,分析商品的特征,市场提供的问题(free rider problem),及解决手段(由政府直接提供)。<br/>● 最后进行总结,给出个人对观点的判断。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_2b-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(b) Assess whether the free market should be used to provide all types of goods in an economy. [12]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目3a'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_3a.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''文字分析'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|#FFC20E|''' 中等 '''}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || PES的概念及影响因素
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 先解释PES的概念及公式。<br/>● 列举多个影响PES的因素,如时间、生产替代品、库存等。分析其对PES大小的影响情况。<br/>● 最后比较这些因素,给出个人判断,说明哪个因素更重要,并写出总结。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_3a-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>3 (a) With the help of a formula, explain the meaning of price elasticity of supply and consider which factors are most important in determining whether the price elasticity of supply for a good is likely to be relatively elastic or relatively inelastic. [8]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目3b'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_3b.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''政策评价'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|red|{{color|white|''' 困难 '''}}}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 政府干预;PES的影响因素
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 结合上一题提出的影响因素,给出至少2种政府干预的方法。并分别说明政策如何生效,以及可能带来的问题。<br/>● 对政策进行评价,比如是否顺利实施取决于一些因素,是否政策对不同产品的效果不同等。<br/>● 给出两种方法的比较和个人判断,做出总结。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_3b-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(b) Assess the likely success of any two government policies to make the price elasticity of supply of all agricultural products more elastic. [12]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
|
| |
|
| ==Essay - Macro宏观== | | ==Essay - Macro宏观== |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目4a'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_4a.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''文字分析(含画图)'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|red|{{color|white|''' 困难 '''}}}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 失业的原因、类型及影响
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 先解释结构性失业和周期性失业的概念,详细分析原因(即小类型),注意周期性失业是AD不足导致,可画AD曲线的图像。<br/>● 再分析两类失业带来的影响(以坏处为主),并做出个人判断,比较出哪类失业的影响更大并说明理由。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_4a-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>4 (a) Compare the causes of structural unemployment and cyclical unemployment and consider which of these types of unemployment is likely to be more harmful to an economy. [8]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目4b'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_4b.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''观点讨论'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|red|{{color|white|''' 困难 '''}}}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 扩张性货币政策;失业的解决方法
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 先解释题干中的各类概念。<br/>● 然后指出扩张性货币政策能解决的失业类型,以及如何解决的(逻辑链分析)。并指出各类货币政策实施时可能出现的问题。<br/>● 接着指出扩张性货币政策无法解决的失业类型,并给出正确的解决方法(即供给侧政策),说明如何解决的(逻辑链分析)。并指出政策实施时可能出现的问题。<br/>● 最后对观点进行判断,并总结上文分析内容。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_4b-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(b) Assess whether expansionary monetary policy is likely to be successful in reducing all types of unemployment. [12]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目5a'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_5a.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''观点讨论'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|red|{{color|white|''' 困难 '''}}}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 通胀;current account deficit
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 先解释题干中的各类概念。<br/>● 然后讨论高通胀确实可以带来经常账户逆差,并说明二者之间的联系(逻辑链)。<br/>● 接着讨论逻辑链中的问题,比如弹性(Marshall-Lerner condition)、产品质量等。通胀可能也不会导致current account deficit。<br/>● 做出观点判断和总结。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_5a-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>5 (a) Explain what is meant by a deficit on the current account of an economy’s balance of payments and consider whether a high rate of inflation will always lead to a deficit on the current account of an economy’s balance of payments. [8]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |
| {|
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''题目5b'''|| || style="background: #FAF0E6"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_5b.png|800px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" |'''题目类型'''|| || '''观点讨论'''
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''难度''' || || {{Background color|red|{{color|white|''' 困难 '''}}}}
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''考察知识点'''|| || 通胀;current account deficit;政府宏观经济目标
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" width="100px" |'''解答要点'''|| || ● 先讨论高通胀对经济的影响(包括好处和坏处),再讨论贸易逆差对经济的影响(包括好处和坏处)。<br/>● 对二者进行比较,做出观点判断,说明二者谁对经济更严重。可考虑取决于当前经济形势,除此之外还可能有其他问题,比如高失业率、环境污染、财政赤字等,可选取一个问题,讨论其对经济的影响(包括好处和坏处)。<br/>● 最后做出总结。
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''官方答案'''|| || style="background: #d3d3d3"| [[File:9708-2023-specimen-paper-2_5b-MS.png|600px]]
| |
| |-
| |
| | align="right" valign="top" |'''文字版备查'''|| ||<small>(b) Assess whether a high rate of inflation or a deficit on the current account of the balance of payments is the more serious problem for an economy. [12]</small>
| |
| |}
| |
| <br/>
| |